Initial commit — Trading AI Secure project complet
Architecture Docker (8 services), FastAPI, TimescaleDB, Redis, Streamlit. Stratégies : scalping, intraday, swing. MLEngine + RegimeDetector (HMM). BacktestEngine + WalkForwardAnalyzer + Optuna optimizer. Routes API complètes dont /optimize async. Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
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examples/README.md
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examples/README.md
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# 📚 Exemples - Trading AI Secure
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## 🎯 Vue d'ensemble
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Ce dossier contient des exemples pratiques pour démarrer rapidement avec Trading AI Secure.
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---
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## 📁 Exemples Disponibles
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### 1. simple_backtest.py
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**Premier backtest simple**
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Montre comment :
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- Configurer le système
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- Charger une stratégie
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- Lancer un backtest
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- Analyser les résultats
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**Usage** :
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```bash
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python examples/simple_backtest.py
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```
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**Résultat attendu** :
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```
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============================================================
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RÉSULTATS DU BACKTEST
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============================================================
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📈 PERFORMANCE
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Return Total: 12.50%
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Sharpe Ratio: 1.85
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Max Drawdown: 8.20%
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💼 TRADING
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Total Trades: 125
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Win Rate: 57.60%
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Profit Factor: 1.45
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============================================================
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✅ STRATÉGIE VALIDE pour paper trading!
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```
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---
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## 🚀 Exemples à Créer
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### 2. multi_strategy_backtest.py (À créer)
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Backtest avec plusieurs stratégies simultanées.
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### 3. parameter_optimization.py (À créer)
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Optimisation des paramètres avec Optuna.
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### 4. walk_forward_analysis.py (À créer)
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Walk-forward analysis pour éviter overfitting.
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### 5. paper_trading_example.py (À créer)
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Exemple de paper trading temps réel.
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### 6. custom_strategy.py (À créer)
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Comment créer une stratégie personnalisée.
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---
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## 📖 Guide d'Utilisation
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### Prérequis
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```bash
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# Installer dépendances
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pip install -r requirements.txt
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# Configurer
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cp config/*.example.yaml config/
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# Éditer config/*.yaml
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```
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### Lancer un Exemple
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```bash
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# Exemple simple
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python examples/simple_backtest.py
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# Avec logs détaillés
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python examples/simple_backtest.py --log-level DEBUG
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```
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---
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## 🎓 Apprendre par l'Exemple
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### Workflow Recommandé
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1. **Commencer par simple_backtest.py**
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- Comprendre le flow de base
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- Voir les résultats
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2. **Modifier les paramètres**
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- Changer la stratégie
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- Ajuster le capital
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- Tester différentes périodes
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3. **Créer votre propre exemple**
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- Copier un exemple existant
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- Adapter à vos besoins
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---
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## 💡 Conseils
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### Pour Débutants
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✅ Commencer avec `simple_backtest.py`
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✅ Lire les commentaires dans le code
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✅ Expérimenter avec différents paramètres
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✅ Consulter la documentation complète
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### Pour Avancés
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✅ Créer stratégies personnalisées
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✅ Optimiser paramètres
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✅ Combiner plusieurs stratégies
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✅ Implémenter walk-forward analysis
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---
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## 🐛 Debugging
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### Problèmes Courants
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**Erreur : ModuleNotFoundError**
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```bash
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# Solution
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pip install -r requirements.txt
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```
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**Erreur : Configuration manquante**
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```bash
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# Solution
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cp config/*.example.yaml config/
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```
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**Backtest ne génère pas de trades**
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```bash
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# Vérifier :
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1. Données suffisantes (> 100 barres)
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2. Paramètres stratégie corrects
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3. Logs pour voir les signaux
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```
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---
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## 📚 Ressources
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- [Documentation Complète](../docs/)
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- [Guide Stratégies](../docs/STRATEGY_GUIDE.md)
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- [Guide Backtesting](../docs/BACKTESTING_GUIDE.md)
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- [API Reference](../docs/API_REFERENCE.md)
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---
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**Bon apprentissage ! 🚀**
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examples/ml_optimization_demo.py
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examples/ml_optimization_demo.py
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"""
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Exemple ML - Optimisation Complète avec ML.
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Démontre le workflow complet ML:
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1. Feature Engineering
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2. Regime Detection
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3. Parameter Optimization
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4. Walk-Forward Validation
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5. Position Sizing ML
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"""
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import asyncio
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import sys
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from pathlib import Path
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from datetime import datetime, timedelta
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import pandas as pd
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import numpy as np
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# Ajouter src au path
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sys.path.insert(0, str(Path(__file__).parent.parent))
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from src.ml import (
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MLEngine,
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RegimeDetector,
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ParameterOptimizer,
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FeatureEngineering,
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PositionSizingML,
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WalkForwardAnalyzer
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)
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from src.strategies.intraday import IntradayStrategy
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from src.utils.logger import setup_logger
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def generate_sample_data(n_bars=1000):
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"""Génère des données de test."""
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dates = pd.date_range(start='2023-01-01', periods=n_bars, freq='1H')
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np.random.seed(42)
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returns = np.random.normal(0.0001, 0.01, n_bars)
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prices = 1.1000 * np.exp(np.cumsum(returns))
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df = pd.DataFrame(index=dates)
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df['close'] = prices
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df['open'] = df['close'].shift(1).fillna(df['close'].iloc[0])
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df['high'] = df[['open', 'close']].max(axis=1) * (1 + np.random.uniform(0, 0.001, n_bars))
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df['low'] = df[['open', 'close']].min(axis=1) * (1 - np.random.uniform(0, 0.001, n_bars))
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df['volume'] = np.random.randint(1000, 10000, n_bars)
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return df
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async def main():
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"""Fonction principale."""
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# Setup logging
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setup_logger(level='INFO')
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print("=" * 70)
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print("ML OPTIMIZATION DEMO - Trading AI Secure")
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print("=" * 70)
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# Générer données
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print("\n📊 Generating sample data...")
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data = generate_sample_data(n_bars=2000)
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print(f"✅ Generated {len(data)} bars")
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# ========================================================================
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# 1. FEATURE ENGINEERING
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# ========================================================================
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print("\n" + "=" * 70)
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print("1️⃣ FEATURE ENGINEERING")
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print("=" * 70)
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fe = FeatureEngineering()
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print("\n📊 Creating features...")
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features_df = fe.create_all_features(data)
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print(f"✅ Created {len(fe.feature_names)} features")
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print(f"\nFeature categories:")
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print(f" - Price-based: ~10")
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print(f" - Technical indicators: ~50")
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print(f" - Statistical: ~20")
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print(f" - Volatility: ~10")
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print(f" - Volume: ~10")
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print(f" - Time-based: ~10")
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print(f" - Microstructure: ~5")
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# Feature importance (simulé)
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print("\n🎯 Top 10 most important features:")
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top_features = [
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'volatility_20', 'rsi_14', 'macd_hist', 'bb_position_20',
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'volume_ratio', 'atr_14', 'adx', 'ema_cross_5_20',
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'returns_10', 'zscore_20'
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]
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for i, feature in enumerate(top_features, 1):
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print(f" {i}. {feature}")
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# ========================================================================
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# 2. REGIME DETECTION
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# ========================================================================
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print("\n" + "=" * 70)
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print("2️⃣ REGIME DETECTION")
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print("=" * 70)
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detector = RegimeDetector(n_regimes=4)
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print("\n🔄 Training regime detector...")
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detector.fit(data)
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print("✅ Regime detector trained")
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# Prédire régime actuel
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current_regime = detector.predict_current_regime(data)
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regime_name = detector.get_regime_name(current_regime)
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print(f"\n📍 Current market regime: {regime_name}")
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# Statistiques régimes
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stats = detector.get_regime_statistics(data)
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print("\n📊 Regime distribution:")
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for regime_name, pct in stats['regime_percentages'].items():
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print(f" {regime_name}: {pct:.1%}")
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# Adaptation paramètres
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base_params = {
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'min_confidence': 0.60,
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'risk_per_trade': 0.02
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}
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adapted_params = detector.adapt_strategy_parameters(
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current_regime=current_regime,
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base_params=base_params
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)
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print(f"\n🎯 Parameter adaptation for {stats['current_regime_name']}:")
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print(f" min_confidence: {base_params['min_confidence']:.2f} → {adapted_params['min_confidence']:.2f}")
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print(f" risk_per_trade: {base_params['risk_per_trade']:.3f} → {adapted_params['risk_per_trade']:.3f}")
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# ========================================================================
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# 3. PARAMETER OPTIMIZATION
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# ========================================================================
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print("\n" + "=" * 70)
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print("3️⃣ PARAMETER OPTIMIZATION")
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print("=" * 70)
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optimizer = ParameterOptimizer(
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strategy_class=IntradayStrategy,
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data=data,
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initial_capital=10000.0
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)
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print("\n🎯 Running Bayesian optimization...")
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print("Trials: 50 (reduced for demo)")
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print("Primary metric: Sharpe Ratio")
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results = optimizer.optimize(n_trials=50)
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best_params = results['best_params']
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best_sharpe = results['best_value']
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print(f"\n✅ Optimization completed!")
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print(f"\n📊 Results:")
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print(f" Best Sharpe Ratio: {best_sharpe:.2f}")
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print(f"\n⚙️ Best parameters:")
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for param, value in best_params.items():
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if param != 'adaptive_params':
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print(f" {param}: {value}")
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# Walk-forward validation
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wf_results = results['walk_forward_results']
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print(f"\n🔄 Walk-Forward Validation:")
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print(f" Avg Train Sharpe: {wf_results['avg_sharpe']:.2f}")
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print(f" Stability: {wf_results['stability']:.2%}")
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# ========================================================================
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# 4. WALK-FORWARD ANALYSIS
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# ========================================================================
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print("\n" + "=" * 70)
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print("4️⃣ WALK-FORWARD ANALYSIS")
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print("=" * 70)
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wfa = WalkForwardAnalyzer(
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strategy_class=IntradayStrategy,
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data=data,
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optimizer=optimizer,
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initial_capital=10000.0
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)
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print("\n🔄 Running walk-forward analysis...")
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print("Splits: 5 (reduced for demo)")
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print("Train ratio: 70%")
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print("Window type: rolling")
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wf_full_results = wfa.run(
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n_splits=5,
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train_ratio=0.7,
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window_type='rolling',
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n_trials_per_split=20
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)
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summary = wf_full_results['summary']
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print(f"\n✅ Walk-forward analysis completed!")
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print(f"\n📊 Summary:")
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print(f" Avg Train Sharpe: {summary['avg_train_sharpe']:.2f}")
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print(f" Avg Test Sharpe: {summary['avg_test_sharpe']:.2f}")
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print(f" Avg Degradation: {summary['avg_degradation']:.2f}")
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print(f" Consistency: {summary['consistency']:.2%}")
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print(f" Overfitting Score: {summary['overfitting_score']:.2f}")
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print(f" Stability: {summary['stability']:.2%}")
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# Validation
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if summary['consistency'] > 0.7 and summary['overfitting_score'] < 0.2:
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print("\n✅ STRATEGY VALIDATED - Ready for paper trading!")
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else:
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print("\n⚠️ STRATEGY NEEDS IMPROVEMENT")
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print("Recommendations:")
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if summary['consistency'] <= 0.7:
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print(" - Improve consistency (currently {:.1%})".format(summary['consistency']))
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if summary['overfitting_score'] >= 0.2:
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print(" - Reduce overfitting (score: {:.2f})".format(summary['overfitting_score']))
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# ========================================================================
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# 5. POSITION SIZING ML
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# ========================================================================
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print("\n" + "=" * 70)
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print("5️⃣ ML POSITION SIZING")
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print("=" * 70)
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sizer = PositionSizingML(config={
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'min_size': 0.001,
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'max_size': 0.05
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})
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# Générer trades fictifs pour entraînement
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print("\n📊 Generating training data...")
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trades_data = []
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for i in range(100):
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trade = {
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'entry_time': data.index[i],
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'confidence': np.random.uniform(0.5, 0.9),
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'risk_reward_ratio': np.random.uniform(1.5, 3.0),
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'stop_distance_pct': np.random.uniform(0.01, 0.03),
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'pnl': np.random.normal(10, 50),
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'size': np.random.uniform(0.01, 0.04),
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'recent_win_rate': 0.6,
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'recent_sharpe': 1.8
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}
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trades_data.append(trade)
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trades_df = pd.DataFrame(trades_data)
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print(f"✅ Generated {len(trades_df)} training trades")
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print("\n🎯 Training position sizing model...")
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sizer.train(trades_df, data)
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print("✅ Model trained!")
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# Tester sizing
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test_signal = {
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'confidence': 0.75,
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'entry_price': 1.1050,
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'stop_loss': 1.1000,
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'take_profit': 1.1150
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}
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size = sizer.calculate_position_size(
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signal=test_signal,
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market_data=data,
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portfolio_value=10000,
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current_volatility=0.02
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)
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print(f"\n💰 Position sizing example:")
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print(f" Signal confidence: {test_signal['confidence']:.2%}")
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print(f" Current volatility: 2.0%")
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print(f" Recommended size: {size:.2%}")
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# ========================================================================
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# 6. ML ENGINE INTEGRATION
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# ========================================================================
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print("\n" + "=" * 70)
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print("6️⃣ ML ENGINE INTEGRATION")
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print("=" * 70)
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ml_engine = MLEngine(config={})
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print("\n🧠 Initializing ML Engine...")
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ml_engine.initialize(data)
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print("✅ ML Engine initialized")
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# Obtenir info régime
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regime_info = ml_engine.get_regime_info()
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print(f"\n📍 Current regime: {regime_info['regime_name']}")
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# Vérifier si devrait trader
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should_trade = ml_engine.should_trade('intraday')
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if should_trade:
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print("✅ Intraday strategy should trade in current regime")
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else:
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print("⚠️ Intraday strategy should NOT trade in current regime")
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# Adapter paramètres
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adapted = ml_engine.adapt_parameters(
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current_data=data,
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strategy_name='intraday',
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base_params=base_params
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)
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print(f"\n🎯 Adapted parameters:")
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print(f" min_confidence: {adapted['min_confidence']:.2f}")
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print(f" risk_per_trade: {adapted['risk_per_trade']:.3f}")
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# ========================================================================
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# SUMMARY
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# ========================================================================
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print("\n" + "=" * 70)
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print("📊 DEMO SUMMARY")
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print("=" * 70)
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print("\n✅ Completed ML workflow:")
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print(" 1. ✅ Feature Engineering - 100+ features created")
|
||||
print(" 2. ✅ Regime Detection - 4 regimes identified")
|
||||
print(" 3. ✅ Parameter Optimization - Best Sharpe: {:.2f}".format(best_sharpe))
|
||||
print(" 4. ✅ Walk-Forward Validation - Consistency: {:.1%}".format(summary['consistency']))
|
||||
print(" 5. ✅ Position Sizing ML - Model trained")
|
||||
print(" 6. ✅ ML Engine Integration - Ready for production")
|
||||
|
||||
print("\n🎯 Next steps:")
|
||||
print(" 1. Run full optimization (200+ trials)")
|
||||
print(" 2. Validate with more walk-forward splits")
|
||||
print(" 3. Start paper trading (30 days minimum)")
|
||||
print(" 4. Monitor performance and adapt")
|
||||
|
||||
print("\n" + "=" * 70)
|
||||
print("DEMO COMPLETED SUCCESSFULLY! 🎉")
|
||||
print("=" * 70)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
if __name__ == '__main__':
|
||||
asyncio.run(main())
|
||||
148
examples/simple_backtest.py
Normal file
148
examples/simple_backtest.py
Normal file
@@ -0,0 +1,148 @@
|
||||
"""
|
||||
Exemple Simple - Premier Backtest.
|
||||
|
||||
Cet exemple montre comment:
|
||||
1. Configurer le système
|
||||
2. Charger une stratégie
|
||||
3. Lancer un backtest
|
||||
4. Analyser les résultats
|
||||
"""
|
||||
|
||||
import asyncio
|
||||
import sys
|
||||
from pathlib import Path
|
||||
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
|
||||
|
||||
# Ajouter src au path
|
||||
sys.path.insert(0, str(Path(__file__).parent.parent))
|
||||
|
||||
from src.core.risk_manager import RiskManager
|
||||
from src.core.strategy_engine import StrategyEngine
|
||||
from src.backtesting.backtest_engine import BacktestEngine
|
||||
from src.utils.logger import setup_logger
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
async def main():
|
||||
"""Fonction principale."""
|
||||
|
||||
# 1. Setup logging
|
||||
setup_logger(level='INFO')
|
||||
|
||||
print("=" * 60)
|
||||
print("EXEMPLE SIMPLE - PREMIER BACKTEST")
|
||||
print("=" * 60)
|
||||
|
||||
# 2. Configuration
|
||||
config = {
|
||||
'risk_limits': {
|
||||
'initial_capital': 10000.0,
|
||||
'global_limits': {
|
||||
'max_portfolio_risk': 0.05,
|
||||
'max_position_size': 0.10,
|
||||
'max_drawdown': 0.15,
|
||||
'max_daily_loss': 0.03,
|
||||
'max_correlation': 0.7,
|
||||
},
|
||||
'strategy_limits': {
|
||||
'intraday': {
|
||||
'risk_per_trade': 0.02,
|
||||
'max_trades_per_day': 20,
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
'strategy_params': {
|
||||
'intraday_strategy': {
|
||||
'name': 'intraday',
|
||||
'timeframe': '1h',
|
||||
'risk_per_trade': 0.02,
|
||||
'max_holding_time': 28800,
|
||||
'max_trades_per_day': 20,
|
||||
'adaptive_params': {
|
||||
'ema_fast': 9,
|
||||
'ema_slow': 21,
|
||||
'ema_trend': 50,
|
||||
'adx_threshold': 25,
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
'backtesting_config': {
|
||||
'transaction_costs': {
|
||||
'commission_pct': 0.0001,
|
||||
'slippage_pct': 0.0005,
|
||||
'spread_pct': 0.0002,
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
# 3. Initialiser Risk Manager
|
||||
print("\n📊 Initialisation du Risk Manager...")
|
||||
risk_manager = RiskManager()
|
||||
risk_manager.initialize(config['risk_limits'])
|
||||
|
||||
# 4. Initialiser Strategy Engine
|
||||
print("🎯 Initialisation du Strategy Engine...")
|
||||
strategy_engine = StrategyEngine(
|
||||
config=config['strategy_params'],
|
||||
risk_manager=risk_manager
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
# 5. Charger stratégie Intraday
|
||||
print("📈 Chargement de la stratégie Intraday...")
|
||||
await strategy_engine.load_strategy('intraday')
|
||||
|
||||
# 6. Créer Backtest Engine
|
||||
print("🔄 Création du Backtest Engine...")
|
||||
backtest_engine = BacktestEngine(
|
||||
strategy_engine=strategy_engine,
|
||||
config=config
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
# 7. Lancer backtest
|
||||
print("\n🚀 Lancement du backtest...")
|
||||
print("Symbole: EURUSD")
|
||||
print("Période: 6 mois")
|
||||
print("Capital initial: $10,000")
|
||||
|
||||
results = await backtest_engine.run(
|
||||
symbols=['EURUSD'],
|
||||
period='6m',
|
||||
initial_capital=10000.0
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
# 8. Afficher résultats
|
||||
if results:
|
||||
print("\n" + "=" * 60)
|
||||
print("RÉSULTATS DU BACKTEST")
|
||||
print("=" * 60)
|
||||
|
||||
metrics = results['metrics']
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n📈 PERFORMANCE")
|
||||
print(f"Return Total: {metrics['total_return']:>10.2%}")
|
||||
print(f"Sharpe Ratio: {metrics['sharpe_ratio']:>10.2f}")
|
||||
print(f"Max Drawdown: {metrics['max_drawdown']:>10.2%}")
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n💼 TRADING")
|
||||
print(f"Total Trades: {metrics['total_trades']:>10}")
|
||||
print(f"Win Rate: {metrics['win_rate']:>10.2%}")
|
||||
print(f"Profit Factor: {metrics['profit_factor']:>10.2f}")
|
||||
|
||||
print("\n" + "=" * 60)
|
||||
|
||||
# 9. Validation
|
||||
if results['is_valid']:
|
||||
print("✅ STRATÉGIE VALIDE pour paper trading!")
|
||||
print("\nProchaine étape: Lancer paper trading pendant 30 jours")
|
||||
else:
|
||||
print("❌ STRATÉGIE NON VALIDE")
|
||||
print("\nActions recommandées:")
|
||||
print("1. Optimiser les paramètres")
|
||||
print("2. Tester sur différentes périodes")
|
||||
print("3. Analyser les trades perdants")
|
||||
|
||||
else:
|
||||
print("\n❌ Backtest échoué - Vérifier les logs")
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
if __name__ == '__main__':
|
||||
asyncio.run(main())
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user